APIHorseRacing

Documentation / Market & analysis

Market movers

GET /v1/market/movers

Whether money moving tells you anything.

Available on

Free key not on this plan
Live not on this plan
Archive not on this plan
Complete not on this plan
Complete + Analyst 2017 → upcoming

Send your key in the X-API-Key header, or as ?key= if your tool cannot set one. A date outside your plan's window returns 403 outside_window naming the window, never an empty array.

Parameters

NameInTypeRequiredDescription
direction query string no shortened or drifted. Omit for both.
min_move query number no Smallest move to include, as a ratio of the opening price. 0.25 is a quarter shorter or longer.
region query string no Restrict to one jurisdiction.
run_type query string no Restrict to one run type.
date_from query string no YYYY-MM-DD. Clamped to your plan's window.
date_to query string no YYYY-MM-DD. Clamped to your plan's window.

Request

curl https://api.apihorseracing.com/v1/market/movers \
  -H "X-API-Key: $AHR_KEY"

Response

200 OK application/json harvested 8 days ago
{
    "meta": {
        "request_id": "6d16f0b3ce4b43c8",
        "data_as_of": "2026-09-12T05:10:27+00:00",
        "plan": "analyst",
        "window": "2017 → upcoming",
        "count": 3
    },
    "data": {
        "window": {
            "from": null,
            "to": null,
            "note": "The whole archive. Your plan sets no date limit."
        },
        "by_movement": [
            {
                "movement": "drifted",
                "runs": 238036,
                "priced": 238036,
                "first": 20197,
                "second": 23001,
                "third": 24628,
                "fourth": 25263,
                "win_pct": 0.0848,
                "top3_pct": 0.2849,
                "expected_wins": 19621.82,
                "a_e": 1.029,
                "a_e_range": [
                    1.015,
                    1.044
                ],
                "a_e_beats_market": true,
                "significant": true,
                "low_sample": false,
                "pl_1pt": -66141.76,
                "roi_pct": -27.79
            },
            {
                "movement": "drifted sharply",
                "runs": 166181,
                "priced": 166181,
                "first": 6538,
                "second": 8556,
                "third": 10956,
                "fourth": 13410,
                "win_pct": 0.0393,
                "top3_pct": 0.1568,
                "expected_wins": 6609.09,
                "a_e": 0.989,
                "a_e_range": [
                    0.965,
                    1.013
                ],
                "a_e_beats_market": false,
                "significant": false,
                "low_sample": false,
                "pl_1pt": -65830.21,
                "roi_pct": -39.61
            },
            "… 3 more"
        ],
        "examples": [
            {
                "race_id": "rc_37HG0ZZ",
                "horse_id": "hs_2P8EM42",
                "horse": "How About It",
                "course": "Southwell",
                "date": "2018-03-05",
                "opening": "9/1",
                "sp": "150/1",
                "drift": 14.1,
                "position": 4
            },
            {
                "race_id": "rc_1QGF7XR",
                "horse_id": "hs_5GG8NB",
                "horse": "Jour D'orage",
                "course": "Worcester",
                "date": "2024-09-27",
                "opening": "200/11",
                "sp": "250/1",
                "drift": 12.0853,
                "position": 8
            },
            "… 1 more"
        ],
        "note": "Movement is starting price against opening price. Only runners whose opening price was published."
    }
}

A real response from /v1/market/movers?limit=3, captured by calling the live API rather than written by hand.

Response fields

Each field is described once and rendered on every endpoint that returns it, so the wording cannot drift between pages.

FieldTypeWhat it is
window string How far back and forward that plan can read.
runs integer Rides in the slice, priced or not.
priced integer Rides carrying a starting price. A/E and the profit figures use these; runs is the wider count.
first integer Wins.
second integer Seconds. Positions are returned separately so you apply your own place terms.
third integer Thirds.
fourth integer Fourths.
win_pct number Wins over runs. The number everyone quotes and the one that tells you least.
top3_pct number First, second or third over runs. Not a place strike rate; place terms vary.
expected_wins number Wins the market implied, summed over the slice.
a_e number Actual wins over expected. Above 1.00 means winning more often than the prices said.
a_e_range array Ninety five percent interval on A/E. If it spans 1.00 the figure is not evidence of anything.
a_e_beats_market boolean True only where the whole interval sits above 1.00.
significant boolean Whether the interval excludes 1.00 in either direction.
low_sample boolean Fewer than five expected wins. Treat A/E as noise.
pl_1pt number One point on every runner, settled at starting price.
roi_pct number Level stakes return. Backing everything loses more than the book margin, because equal stakes overweight the longshots.
race_id string Opaque race identifier. Stable, and safe to store.
horse_id string Opaque horse identifier.
horse string Horse name.
course string Course name.
date date Race date, YYYY-MM-DD.
opening string The price the runner opened at, where published.
sp string Starting price, fractional, as returned.
drift number Starting price against opening, as a ratio. Positive drifted, negative shortened.
position integer Finishing position. Null means the runner did not complete or was not published below the placings.

What varies by jurisdiction

Price movement is an opening price, not a full series

The source publishes no odds history on a settled race, only an opening price and any prices touched. About one runner in five carries one. price_path.source tells you which kind you have on every runner, so you never have to infer it.

Not every jurisdiction publishes a full finishing order

America publishes the placings and nothing below them, so position is null for most of the field. Britain, Ireland, France and South Africa carry a position for the great majority of runners. /v1/countries returns the current figure for each.

Errors this endpoint returns

CodeStatusWhen
unauthorized 401 No key, or one we do not recognise. Check the header name and that the key has not been rotated from your account page.
upgrade_required 403 The endpoint returns computed statistics and your plan does not include them. The body names every plan that does reach it, so you never have to look it up.
invalid_param 422 A date that is not YYYY-MM-DD, a by= dimension we do not have, or a cursor that did not come from us. The message names the parameter.
rate_limited 429 Past your per-minute rate. Retry-After is set, and X-RateLimit-Remaining tells you where you stand on every successful response too.
server_error 500 Ours, not yours. Every response carries a request_id; quote it and we can find the exact request.

Run it live

A real request from your browser straight to api.apihorseracing.com with your own key. Nothing is proxied and nothing is logged by this page.

Remembered in this browser so you do not paste it on every page.

What this is for

Whether money moving before the off tells you anything, measured across every runner that carries an opening price. Movers are grouped by how far they moved and in which direction, each band with a full statistics block.

The question is old and the folklore is confident: a horse that shortens is fancied and a drifter is not. This is the endpoint that decides whether that survives a confidence interval.

Two things limit it, and both should be understood before you read a result. Price movement exists only where the source published an opening price, which in this archive means Britain on about 59% of runners and Ireland on about 52%, and essentially nowhere else. And the movement is opening to starting price, not a full series, so a horse that shortened and drifted back looks like it never moved.

Both facts are on every runner in price_path.source, and this endpoint only considers runners where a real opening price exists rather than treating an absent one as no movement.

Common uses

Testing the folklore

direction=shortened with a min_move, over as much of the archive as your plan reaches. Read the interval.

Building a feature

If a band does show a genuine effect, the A/E is directly usable as a weight, and it already accounts for the price.

Deciding whether it is worth the trouble

The coverage limitation means any model using this only works on British and Irish racing. Better to know that first.

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